'B' 2012 Watch

As I began my health care analysis to be posted Sunday, I realized that I should start a new tradition: the 'B' 2012 Watch. I will periodically post opinions of prospective candidates for the 2012 election. Given the radical shift in my views between 2004 and 2008, I figured it might be funny to look back on this when 2012 is actually upon us. Although I am a registered independent, I intend to vote in the Republican primary...

Top 5 Preferred Candidates for GOP Nomination

1. Greg Ballard Condi Rice
2. John Thune
3. David Petraeus
4. Mitt Romney
5. Mitch Daniels
   

Distribution of Likelihood of Vote (out of 1)
[Prob. candidate runs * Prob. candidate is preferred|Candidate runs]

1. Romney (.6)
2. Thune (.1)
3. Pawlenty (.1)
4. Jindal (.1)
5. Palin, Daniels, Petraeus, Cantor, Rice (.02)

 Likelihood of Final Vote:

1. GOP (.8)
2. Democrat (.2) 
   

Approval of Obama (1-10/Binary): 3/Nay